Bills vs. Patriots predictions Odds tota

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We have an AFC East duel on deck as the NFL opens up Week 13 with the visiting the on Thursday night. Both of these division rivals are entering this matchup above .500 on the season, but find themselves in different spots in the standings. At 8-3, Buffalo is duking it out with Miami for first place, while the Patriots try to claw back into the playoff picture at 6-5.This is the first time that these clubs have faced one another this season with the second coming in the regular-season finale in Week 18. In 2021, they split the season series, but it was the Bills who got the last laugh in the playoffs, trouncing the Patriots and sending them home for the year with a 47-17 victory.Here, we'll specifically be looking at the different betting angles that this game has to offer. Along with the spread and total Joonas Donskoi Jersey , we'll also take a look at several player props and hand in our picks for how we see this showdown unfolding.Date:Thursday, Dec. 1 |Time:8:15 p.m. ETLocation:Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Ma sachusetts)Stream:Follow:Odds: Bills -3.5, O/U 43.5      Featured Game | New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills         Moneyline Spread Total  NE   BUF     There has been some momentum moving in the Patriots favor. After opening up at Bills -5.5, this line has bumped down by two full points, sitting at Bills -3.5 on the eve of this head-to-head. Both of these teams played on Thanksgiving and it was after Thursday's action that we saw all of this movement, with the initial slip-down happening Mikkel Boedker Jersey  on Monday.The pick: Bills -3.5. The movement in this line suggests that this is an unpopular pick as money has started to come in on New England. On its face, that makes sense. The Patriots are playing for their playoff lives and the Bills have stumbled a bit over the last few weeks, going 1-4 ATS over their last five games. Home underdogs are also covering at a historic rate this season as their 59% cover rate is the highest in any season since 1989.With all that said, it's tough for me to get against Buffalo here. The Bills are wildly more talented and has particularly dominated against Bill Belichick's team. In three of his last four games vs. New England, Allen has thrown for at least 300 yards and three touchdowns with zero interceptions. The only game he wasn't able to go over that threshold was last year in a game with severe winds. Allen has also played well in Foxborough. In his last two games at Gillette Stadium, he's averaged  Joe Pavelski Jersey 317 yards pa sing and has seven pa sing touchdowns with zero picks.  Key trend: Bills are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four meetings in New England.         Pick Six Newsletter   Crafted By The Best NFL Experts   Get the day's big stories + fun stuff you love like mock drafts, picks and power rankings.     I agree to receive the "Pick Six Newsletter" and marketing communications, updates, special offers (including partner offers), and other information from CBS Sports and the Paramount family of companies.  By pre sing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the and acknowledge Paramount's .                 Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe.       Thanks for Martin Jones Jersey  signing up!   Keep an eye on your inbox.     Sorry!   There was an error proce sing your subscription.     The total for this matchup has also seen notable movement. It opened at 45 and did see a quick burst up to 45.5 on Sunday night before a consistent dive down. By noon on Monday, it had sunk to 43.5 and has held throughout the week.The pick: Over 43.5. As we noted above, Josh Allen has had no problem against Bill Belichick-led defenses in the past and the Patriots finally showed some life offensively against the on Thanksgiving. In the last six matchups between these two games, the Over is 4-1-1. The only time the Over outright lost was that wind game last season where there was a combined total of 24 points. In their last two meetings, the total stood at 43.5 and 43. Each time they exceeded that number by at Tomas Hertl Jersey  least 10.5 points.Key trend: Over is 8-3 in the Patriots last 11 home games.             BUF  QB  #17  CMP%63.9YDs3183TD23INT11YD/Att7.76 Pa sing touchdowns:1.5 (Over -169, Under +123)Pa sing yards:270.5 (Over -117, Under  Chris Tierney Jersey -117)Rushing yards: 42.5 (Over -137, Under +100)Pa sing attempts: 34.5 (Over -131, Under -104)Rushing attempts: 7.5 (Over +100, Under -137)Longest pa s completion:38.5 (Over -115, Under -119)Completions: 22.5 (Over -101, Under -135)Interceptions:0.5 (Over -151, Under +110)Mobile quarterbacks have given the Patriots defense fits this season, so it wouldn't surprise me if the Bills try to utilize Allen's legs in this matchup. With that in mind, I'll certainly look at the Over on his rushing yards total at 42.5, a number he's exceeded seven times this season. I'll also roll the dice on Allen seeing at least eight carries at plus money. Last week against Detroit, he logged double-digit carries for the fourth time this season.               NE  QB  #10  CMP%69.2YDs1768TD6INT7YD/Att7.56 Pa sing touchdowns:1.5 (Over +143, Under -199)Pa sing yards:230.5 (Over -125, Under -109)Rushing yards: 9.5 (Over -109, Under -125)Pa sing attempts: 32.5 (Over -121, Under -113)Longest pa s completion:34.5 Justin Braun Jersey  (Over -123, Under -111)Completions: 20.5 (Over -117, Under -117)Interceptions:0.5 (Over -145, Under +106)There seemed to be a more conscious effort to throw the ball down the field last week against Minnesota and Jones made the most of the opportunity. On top of throwing for a season-high 382 yards, he was 7 of 10 pa sing on throws 15 or more yards down the field for 193 yards and two touchdowns. In his previous four games, he had 12 such throws and completed four of them. I imagine the Patriots will be trailing in this game, which forces Jones into a game script that leads to him throwing deep often. So, I'll lean on Jones' over 230.5 pa sing yards and over his 20.5 completions. He's gone over this pa sing yards number in the last two games and has hit over 20.5 completions in six of his eight starts.  total rushing attempts: Over 12.5 (-135). Singletary has been an underrated piece in Buffalo's high-flying offense. He has gone over this rushing attempts number in five of his last six games, including David Schlemko Jersey  three straight coming into Thursday. total receptions: Over 2.5 (-108). Henry has been underutilized this season after seeing 75 targets a year ago, which was second-most on the team. However, it did seem like Mac Jo