Best NFL Championship Sunday bets plus o

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I'm not trying to depre s you, but this is the last weekend with multiple NFL games until the fall. Sure, we still have March Madne s and the NBA and Stanley Cup playoffs, but the NFL is still king around here, and we'll mi s it.There's a reason we have Football Fridays in this newsletter but not Basketball Fridays, and it's not just alliteration. Well, OK, so the fact most basketball lines aren't posted until the day of the game plays a pretty significant role too, but that's not the point! The point is we love football, and we love Malachi Flynn Jersey  betting on it, but it will be gone soon. Let us cherish the time we have remaining....Let's get to the winners.    Latest Odds: Indiana Pacers +6.5            Key Trend: The Pacers are 11-5 ATS as home dogs this season.The Pick: Pacers +8.5 (-110)The Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton again tonight, as he's out for at least another week with a knee injury. That's a significant lo s, but the Pacers have been Danny Green Jersey  without Haliburton for over two weeks and are finally adjusting. They started 0-5 without him but have been much better in their last three games.Sure, they've only won one of them (a six-point win over Chicago), but the road lo ses to Phoenix and Orlando were close. While tonight's matchup will be difficult, the line gives Milwaukee a bit too much credit. It's not as if Milwaukee's at full strength. Bobby Portis suffered a knee injury that'll keep him out for at least a week, and while he's going to play, Giannis is dealing with a knee i sue of his own.  Also, the Pacers have been excellent against the spread. The Pacers are 16-9 ATS at home this season, including 11-5 ATS as home dogs. The Bucks have been good ATS this year too, but their dominance is at home, where they're 16-8 ATS. On the road, they're only 9-12-3 ATS. Finally, Milwaukee's coming off a big win Patrick McCaw Jersey  over Denver and has another big game at home Sunday against New Orleans. The Bucks wouldn't be the first team to get caught looking past a road game against a team at the bottom of the league. .   Latest Odds: Philadelphia Eagles -3            The Pick: Eagles -2.5 (-120) --I keep betting against and losing. What do you want from me? I'm stubborn. That's why I'm doing it again. Now Purdy is on the road, facing an elite defense and a team with an offense that won't screw up repeatedly. Seriously, Purdy and the Niners didn't play that well offensively last week. and the gave the game away.  The Eagles won't. Philadelphia has been the most complete team in the NFC all season long, and it might be the best team in the NFL. Offensively there isn't anything they can't do, and when it's not clicking, they have a defense that keeps them in games. Don't get me wrong, the 49ers are great too, but they'll need too many breaks to go their way this weekend to leave Philly with the win.   Latest Odds: Cincinnati Bengals +115            The Pick: Bengals (+100) --I'm not buying it. You can show me video of stretching at practice. You can tell me he was a full participant. He can even walk smoothly away from the podium after a pre s conference. I  Fred VanVleet Jersey don't believe it. Some people want to believe is a body double. I prefer to believe Mahomes' ankle is in much worse shape than advertised, and this is all a smokescreen by Kansas City to force Cincinnati to prepare for the typically mobile Mahomes.I don't think he'll be the mobile Mahomes. Which stinks because this is a matchup of what I believe to be the two best quarterbacks in the NFL, and I'd prefer having both at full strength. So not only do I think Cincinnati will have the better and healthier QB on Sunday, but the Bengals also have better skill position players than the Chiefs. I don't think it's an accident that the Bengals have had as much succe s against the Chiefs as they have, and the succe s continues Sunday.   College Basketball The Pick: Oakland +9 (-110) --I'm not a television executive or a conference commi sioner, but I like to play one in this newsletter. The Friday night college  Aron Baynes Jersey basketball slates are pretty thin. There are only 10 games on the schedule tonight, and none involve a "major" league. I know we like to save games for Saturday and Sunday, but wouldn't it make sense for at least one of the major conferences to play some games on Friday night? It feels like a mi sed opportunity.Anyway, as for this incredible Horizon League game we're betting, this spread is a bit too optimistic about Youngstown State's chances by my calculations. The Penguins are probably the best team in the Horizon League, but they're a me s defensively. They've just been so good offensively that it hasn't mattered. However, conference play has been much kinder to Oakland, as the Grizzlies are 7 Kyle Lowry Jersey -3 and have been pretty sound defensively. The Penguins beat the Grizzlies by 16 two weeks ago, but they shot 14/26 from three in that game. I don't think they'll do it again, and the Grizzlies will keep this one a lot closer. SoccerThe Pick: Over 3.5 (+120) --I began a tradition a few years ago where I buy my favorite shirt every season from a team I don't support. Last year I bought the black, white and pink PSG alternate. This season I bought Monchengladbach's home kit. This has absolutely nothing to do with my play, it's just a nice shirt, and I like it a lot. I hope it has goals in it because we' Oshae Brissett Jersey re betting the over here.  I don't bet the Bundesliga in this newsletter often, but it's a fun league if you like goals. Bundesliga matches average 3.27 goals this season, which is 0.33 more goals per game than the next highest of Europe's top five leagues (France's Ligue 1 is at 2.94). This match is likely to add to that average. Hoffenheim has been outscored at home 13-14, but its xG at home is 16.1-10.8. It's been unlucky. Meanwhile, Monchengladbach's defending falls off a cliff when it hits the road. It goes from allowing an average of 1.32 xG per match at home to 1.6 on the road. This line is too juicy to pa s up, given the chance of a goal fest breaking out.The Pick: Under 2.5 (-115) --Please understand that I know how condescending what I'm about to say sounds, but I'm sincere when I say it. As a Napoli fan, I am thrilled with the season the team is having. Napoli has dominated Serie A and has a 12-point lead in the league at the halfway mark. It's on pace for 100 points. It's also been dominant in the Champions League. It's wonderful. At the same time, I kind of wish the race for Napoli's first Seria A title since 1990 was a little more dramatic. Instead of living and dying with the results every week, the only thing I have to fear is an epic collapse. That's not fun. Nor is it likely, because  Dewan Hernandez Jersey another reason I wish the race were tighter is I believe the fact it isn't says more about the rest of Serie A than it does Napoli, but that's an entirely different story for another time.Wha